This and that

Did not bet on the Preakness so saved a little money there. Would have bet the winner but not the second place horse. Might bet the Belmont as both the Derby and Preakness winners will not be running.

Back from the GNCC Spring meeting. Won the Bell Quoits trophy. Pretty cool as this competition started in 1868.

The Phils sweep the Brew Crew and move out to a good lead in the East with the Mets sinking fast toward the cellar.

Later,
JH

Derby aftermath

Once again I should listen to myself. Super Saver was in the mix on Thursday, not on Friday and in and out on Saturday. Good thing Mrs. JH is smarter than me cause she had the exacta. Too many losing bets to make any money but did get back all that was bet with the one exacta.

Is there a triple crown this year? I don't think so at this point. Super Saver may win the Preakness but the Belmont is a long, long race and I don't think he can hang for the wire.

Will be interesting to see who runs the Preakness.

Later
JH

Friday Derby update

Okay, after a day of review here we go.

Most likely to win - Lookin at Lucky, Awesome Act, Mission Impazible
In the mix - Ice Box, Jackson Bend, Sidney's Candy

So those three will be on top or boxed in the exactas and trifectas. Heavy exacta on the top three and those three on top of a big tri. Can't bet them all.

Good luck to all those playing and see you at the winners window.

Later,
JH

Thursday Derby update

Here is the only way to weed out 20 betting interests.

Who won't win
Noble's Promise, Line of David, American Lion, Dean's Kitten, Make Music for Me, Paddy O'Prado, Devil May Care, Mission Impazible, Discreetly Mine, Backtalk, Homeboykris, Sidney's Candy

That leaves 8 horses to figure out. Let's look at them by post order.
Lookin at Lucky - a bad post but a good horse and jockey, mostly a synthetic runner, might be in the mix, I am thinking not on the board.
Ice Box - a deep closer that will be last at some point and have to pass everyone, with a sloppy track do not think that will happen, in the mix for trifectas
Super Saver - a good post for Borel, will save ground, on the board in both off track runs, in the mix
Stately Victor - another strong closer. a lot of turf background, can't keep them all, not in the mix
Conveyance - the other Baffert horse which could be the one who wins,first grade 1 race, can he stay wire to wire or hang on for a spot, in the mix
Jackson Bend - consistant,lucky to get in, will show he belongs, my pick for the winner
Awesome Act - a stalker from Europe, in the mix
Dublin - D. Wayne Lukas, enough said, probably not in the mix

So the five to keep - Ice Box, Super Saver, Conveyance, Jackson Bend and Awesome Act.

Later
JH

Wednesday Derby update

Here are the posts and morning line odds.
Post Pos. Horse Odds

1. Lookin At Lucky 3-1
2. Ice Box 10-1
3. Noble’s Promise 12-1
4. Super Saver 15-1
5. Line of David 30-1
6. Stately Victor 30-1
7. American Lion 30-1
8. Dean’s Kitten 50-1
9. Make Music For Me 50-1
10. Paddy O’Prado 20-1
11. Devil May Care 10-1
12. Conveyance 12-1
13. Jackson Bend 15-1
14. Mission Impazible 20-1
15. Discreetly Mine 30-1
16. Awesome Act 10-1
17. Dublin 12-1
18. Backtalk 50-1
19. Homeboykris 50-1
20. Sidney’s Candy 5-1

Bad spots for Lookin at Lucky and Sidney's Candy. Pretty good spots for the rest of the speed. Looks like it will break down to a pretty fair race. Speed to the front but no one will steal it I don't think. So look for the raters and closers. Leaning toward that group right now. Time to read up on the past performances and weed out a few more horses.

Later
JH

Tuesday Derby update

So, Rule and Interactif most likely will not run. Devil May Care the filly will run, not entered in the Oaks. Jackson Bend and Back Talk are probably in. Add Back Talk to the throw out list.

Conveyance is coming off the throw list and back in for consideration. Not reading closely enough to realize this is a Baffert horse. I never bet against him. So that is one sure bet at this point - exacta box - Lookin at Lucky, Conveyance, Dublin. Dublin is the Lukas horse and I never bet against him as well. That would actually be a nice exacta if it hit especially the latter two.

Entries are made tomorrow and the field will be set. Here is the throwout winner for those that are following along - Sidney's Candy. Just don't like the synthetic runners.

Later,
JH

Monday Derby update

Eskendereya out of the Derby which makes it more wide open and also opens the way for two interesting horses. Pletcher may run the filly Devil May Care who has the Beyer numbers to support a chance. Also (hopefully) opens the door for Jackson Bend who finished second to Eskendereya twice. Need one more drop out for him to get in if Devil runs.

So, where to start. The throwouts, which means one of these will probably win, one of the throwouts for last year, Mine That Bird.

Here is the list so far.
Noble's Promise - out
Rule - out
Conveyance - out
Interactif - out
Stately Victor - out
Dean's Kitten - out
Discreetly Mine - out
Homeboykris - out
Paddy O'Prado - out

More horses to eliminate as the week progresses.

Later,
JH