Wednesday, April 29, 2009

Kentucky Derby Wednesday update

Another horse dropped out, Win Willy and a horse got in, Atomic Rain. Neither are factors.

Post position draw just finished up. It is a long race with lots of horses. Post position is not that much a factor. Big Brown won last year from the far outside post 20.

Okay on to the topic. With 20 horses involved there is only one way to guarantee having the winner. Bet on every horse to win. You won't make any money unless a real long shot wins. So, now is the time to decide who can't win or finish in the top three.

The throwouts for this year.
Post Horse Odds
4 Advice 30-1 *
14 Atomic Rain 50-1 *
12 General Quarters 20-1 *
5 Hold Me Back 15-1 *
9 Join in the Dance 50-1 *
8 Mine That Bird 50-1 *
3 Mr. Hot Stuff 30-1 *
2 Musket Man 20-1 *
18 Nowhere to Hide 50-1 *
7 Papa Clem 20-1 *
10 Regal Ransom 30-1 *
17 Summer Bird 50-1 *
1 West Side Bernie 30-1 *

That leaves 7 horses to work with for exacta and trifecta betting. Of course, the 3-6-9 bet will still be made even though two of them are throwouts. And a couple of these may make it back into a trifecta bet.

Later,
JH

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