Okay, so given my schedule for the next two days as previously noted, here is the pick to win this year.
I Want Revenge
Favorite has won the last two and 3 of the last 5. I think that repeats again. Have to bet a lot on just a win to make any money as he goes off somewhere in the 2-1 range. Since betting the Derby is all about making money time to figure out which horse of 7 will finish second and make the payout worth it.
Betting strategy at this point - IWR on top of a $5 exacta with 4 or 5 horses underneath ($20 or $25 bet). Then some $1 trifectas with IWR on top and 5 horses for second and 7 or 8 for third. A bet on Flying Private for show, the 3-6-9 bet (probably exacta) and the Baffert-Lukas box exacta (IWR and Flying Private).
If I get a chance tomorrow night will update who the rest of the horses are that will hit the board. Remember bet with your head and not over it.
Later,
JH
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2 comments:
It just occurred to me that if I really actually wanted to bet on the KD, I have no idea how to go about it. That's pathetic.
I really do not like this field at all. Hard to make a good bet on a bad field.
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